For years, social media users have been lecturing one another about what percentages mean in weather forecasts. "Y'all know on the weather app the percentage isn't a "chance" of rain. It means it ...

So, why shouldn't severe weather forecasts also get smarter ... hours in advance. “The tornado probability algorithm is designed to predict the probability that a tornado is occurring now ...

An ensemble model gives meteorologists a range of weather forecast scenarios and a probability of how likely that scenario will play out. Ensemble models communicate uncertainty in a forecast and ...

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or ...

Here’s the very latest from the Storm Center: **6:45am Update-Thunderstorms are forecast to develop after midday east of I-29. There is a conditional ... probability of severe weather after ...

This is a tough one, and why it’s pegged as a “conditional” severe weather situation here in Michigan. My feeling from my 36 years of professional forecasting in the Great Lakes is it will ...

Within NOAA, the National Weather Service has been thrown into turmoil, and experts argue this could threaten the reliability of America’s weather forecasting ... a low-probability, high-risk ...

Traditional fire forecasts are largely based on weather models that predict temperature, humidity, wind speed and precipitation. By contrast, the Probability of Fire model used by the European ...