For reference, if the polls in a state showed Democrats up by 3 points on Election Day, you'd expect the Republicans to win only around 15-20 percent of the time. 3. Combine polls and fundamentals ...

Robinhood . Robinhood started offering election betting on Oct. 28, 2024. The company announced the rollout of presidential election event contracts, also in partnership with ForecastEx. Unlike ...

In the 2012 presidential election, President Barack Obama won reelection against the backdrop of a September inflation rate of 1.7%, up slightly from the prior month.