The Cook Political Report updated its forecast for U.S. Senate races on Thursday and the change for the key Montana race effectively flipped the majority in the chamber to the Republicans ...

Polymarket and Nate Silver Want to Reshape Political Forecasting Welcome to the new, degenerate age of prediction markets. By Nitish Pahwa. Aug 16, 2024 5:50 AM. Photo illustration by Slate.

Peter Turchin warned America was on the brink of a decade of growing political unrest. This is what he says now.

The Trump ‘whale,’ a trader known only as Théo, proved more accurate in his forecast than pollsters like Nate Silver. John Cuneo By Niall Ferguson and Manny Rincon-Cruz ...

The Cook Political Report updated its forecast for U.S. Senate races on Thursday and the change for the key Montana race effectively flipped the majority in the chamber to the Republicans.

The founder of FiveThirtyEight has a new book on his path from playing poker professionally to political forecasting, and why people like to risk it all Nate Silver became a nationwide sensation ...

Party Politics. 2025 Political Forecast: Key Trends and What to Expect! Season 3 Episode 15 | 26m 46s Video has Closed Captions | CC. This week, Co-hosts Brandon Rottinghaus and Jeronimo Cortina ...

That the Labor Party is in power by grace of the Liberal Party is by now a truism. That the Liberal Party is showing signs of compound fracture became evident during the past week. This a priori ...

A ruling against the Consumer Finance TC ban on predictive market company Kalshi adding U.S. election scenarios for investor bets on could make the stakes of November's races even higher than ...

The Liberal Party (LPC) is forecast to win 186 seats in Monday's election, surpassing the 172 seats required for a majority, according to the trustworthy political forecasting website 388 Canada ...