What began with Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and other targets has now spiraled into the world’s first full-scale example of what is a “threshold war”.

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The threshold war model threatens to unravel decades of nuclear governance based on deterrence rather than pre-emption. Indeed, the Iran-Israel threshold war sets dangerous precedents for other ...

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Iran cannot fully deter Israeli action because it lacks confirmed weapons, while Israel cannot rely on deterrence to prevent Iranian weaponization because Iran’s nuclear program continues advancing.