Not only did RealClearPolitics invent poll aggregation, but it always did it better than FiveThirtyEight, too.

But the impact of the 2024 election could be felt for years in another important way: It may have relegated Democrats to long-term minority status in the Senate. According to a new 538 analysis ...

showing a hypothetical U.S. presidential election outcome if only women voted. He noted that the map was "based on the FiveThirtyEight polls-only forecast," which predicted that Hillary Clinton ...

As polls opened, Harris was predicted to win the election by almost every major forecaster. Leading pollster Nate Silver's forecast had ... Harris a small advantage. FiveThirtyEight's final ...

Under these rules, Republicans would likely hold an edge in this contingent election for president. 538’s House forecast shows a ... drawn congressional map in North Carolina, the GOP is all ...

Harris wins 50 times out of 100, while Trump wins 49 times out of 100 based on 1,000 simulations, according to ...

538's final presidential election forecast. Katie Marriner and Amina Brown ... ABC News interactive electoral map showing scenario where Vice President Kamala Harris wins all seven key swing ...