The battle for control of the U.S. Senate is close to being a tossup, but with perhaps a very narrow advantage for Democrats, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast, which launched this week.In ...

Welcome to our Election Update for Thursday, Aug. 23! As of 1 p.m., the “Classic” version of FiveThirtyEight’s House forecast gives Democrats a 5 in 7 chance (7… ...

FiveThirtyEight’s initial 2012 presidential forecast found President Obama as a slight favorite to win re-election. These projections are unique, both in means and ends, but the FiveThirtyEight ...

Welcome to our Election Update for Thursday, Aug. 30! According to the latest “Classic” version of FiveThirtyEight’s House forecast, Democrats have a 5 in 7 chance of taking control of the ...

Announcing 538's 2024 presidential election forecast model. Trump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast. Trump has a slight edge in the polls, but the fundamentals favor Biden.

Four years later, he nailed the electoral map precisely. Silver’s forecast ahead of the 2018 midterm elections gave the Democrats an 88% chance to win control of the House.

Forecasting website 538 said Trump's chances of winning the election are improving. Donald Trump during a rally on September 23, 2024, in Indiana, Pennsylvania.

Take a hypothetical example of an election between the candidates Kang and Kodos, in which Kang has 268 electoral votes locked up, Kodos has 263, and it all comes down to Rhode Island and Delaware.

A new forecast model by Nate Silver on his 538 website shows most of North Carolina’s incumbents are heavy favorites to hold onto their seats in Congress, including George Holding, David Price ...