My predictions for the 2022 midterm elections. ... The House elections will break sharply toward the GOP, but the effects will differ significantly depending upon important demographics in each seat.

Election Day arrived with 217 seats in the “Solid,” “Likely” or “Lean Republican” category — putting Republicans only two seats away from the majority, according to the forecast. By ...

Election Day is finally upon us, and we’re “right back where we started from,” to borrow a phrase from Maxine Nightingale.FiveThirtyEight’s Deluxe forecast for the U.S. House, which is now ...

Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia, a Democrat, won a runoff election to defeat Herschel Walker, a Trump-backed Republican and former football star. Last estimates generated at Nov. 9, 2022 The ...

On average, when looking at the 2006 through 2022 elections, a version of our forecast that uses just polls and fundamentals predicts the wrong winner in contested House elections just 4 percent ...

Clearly, I was overly confident in my early prediction. While it is true that the president’s party almost always has a poor midterm, there have been exceptions. And the 2022 midterms turned out ...

Former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich gives his final election predictions in an interview with Sean Hannity on FOX News. GINGRICH: I think at a general level we're going be somewhere between ...

The Opinion pages of The Wall Street Journal offer insights and predictions into the 2022 midterm elections. Photo: Getty Images/iStockphoto Karl Rove: What to Expect in the 2022 Midterms ...

Silver’s forecast ahead of the 2018 midterm elections gave the Democrats an 88% chance to win control of the House. Of all possible outcomes of the election, his model showed the party gaining ...

Regulating U.S. prediction markets will become far more critical when large sums are focused directly on the outcome of elections, which are, after all, the foundation of our democracy.

The mandate key because Democrats lost US House seats in 2022. Incumbency, it's an open seat. And incumbent charisma, because Harris, whatever you may think of her, is certainly not yet a Franklin ...

The first key, “Midterm Gains,” turns for Trump, as Lichtman says in the video: “The Democrats did better than expected in 2022 but they still lost house seats, so the key is false.” ...