The chance of the disturbance forming in the next couple of days or within a week is 20%.

The National Hurricane Center lowered its outlook Wednesday that an Atlantic system approaching the Caribbean will develop into the season’s next tropical depression or storm, while also keeping tabs on a second system already in the Caribbean.

With Florida's Gulf Coast left reeling after back-to-back major hurricanes, our Tracking the Tropics team explains what could spare the region from experiencing a third storm within a month.