NASA has dropped the probability of an impact from asteroid 2024 YR4 — at first to 1 in 67, and now to 1 in 360. NASA announced the first reduced impact risk on its X feed at around 5:00 p.m ...

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The risk of a huge asteroid hitting Earth has dropped after Nasa reported its highest-ever impact probability for an object of its size. Space rock 2024 YR4, estimated to be 130 to 300 feet wide ...

But scientists revised that assessment after a precise analysis ... 2024 YR4 now holds the record for the highest impact probability reached, and the longest time spent with an impact probability ...

The relative scarcity of data points lies behind the fluctuating risk assessment, which, until yesterday, had pegged the asteroid’s probability of impact at 2.6 percent. This boost came from two ...

NASA and ESA are closely monitoring asteroid 2024 YR4, which initially had a higher collision probability with Earth than the Apophis asteroid. New data has since lowered the impact risk to 1.5% ...

its odds of impact, which now stand at 3.1%, represent the highest risk level of any large space rock ever. Those odds may seem low, but the newly calculated probability of a collision with Earth ...