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The sub-cycle with the shortest length in his overall three-part cycle was the Kitchin cycle, which he estimated at about 40 months, though empirically it has been measured to be as long as 60 months.
However, back when respectable economists still talked about business-cycle theory, they often distinguished between Kitchin cycles, which averaged three to four years and were dominated by swings in ...
The Juglar Cycle. Timing Solution ... Creator: Cl é ment Juglar (1819-1905) Duration: 7-11 years. Theory: In addition to Kitchin's lagging inventory signal, there is an additional lagging fixed ...
The business cycle remains with us, as it did then, and even as the economy crashes it sows the seeds for renewal, and vice-versa. Or as Juglar put it, "The only cause of depression is prosperity." ...
Numerous markets and time frames still point to lower lows in stocks later in 2012. We believe the S&P 500 (SPX) could push above 1,285 toward the 1,300 - 1,343 range. However, that move may be ...
The investment delay in the Juglar cycle is usually 1-2 years, while the investment delay in the Kitchin cycle is only 4-7 months. In addition to Kitchin's lagging inventory signal, ...
Researchers hypothesised cycles of differing durations could be nested, for example each 7-11 Juglar cycle could be decomposed into two or three separate 3-4 year Kitchin cycles.
Clement Juglar, and Nikolai Kondratieff, to name a few, started to formulate theories about recurring business cycles of various lengths and established the concept of the business cycle.
The Juglar cycle was much longer, with a period of roughly 10 years (and between 7–11 years in the literature). The longest was the Kondratieff cycle (or K-wave) with a length of approximately ...
The business cycle remains with us, as it did then, and even as the economy crashes it sows the seeds for renewal, and vice-versa. Or as Juglar put it, "The only cause of depression is prosperity." ...