New articles will appear on ABC News, but our interactives will stay in place. Welcome to the new home of 538! Starting today, Sept. 18, 538 content will be published at a new vertical on the ABC ...

As Adam Geller, a Republican pollster who worked on the Trump campaign, told me, public polls can create news because “they are easy stories to write.” But, he said, “there is far too little ...

Forecasting website 538 said Trump's chances of winning the election are improving. Donald Trump during a rally on September 23, 2024, in Indiana, Pennsylvania.

We developed this metric in collaboration with Mark Blumenthal, a pollster, past 538 contributor and co-founder of the (now sadly defunct) poll-aggregation website Pollster.com. Blumenthal has ...

The poll aggregation and evaluation site 538, part of ABC News, dropped the right-wing polling firm Rasmussen Reports from inclusion in its polling averages and forecasts.

Donald Trump's campaign manager used a Semafor report on issues with ABC News' 538 election model to take a shot at the entire prediction effort, labeling it "a suppression tool" and calling for ...

ABC News, which owned FiveThirtyEight, this week laid off the site’s 15 remaining staffers. The network had already made drastic cutbacks two years ago, with Silver himself departing back then.

The latest analysis of recent polls by election website FiveThirtyEight, published on Friday, gives Harris a 1.4-point lead over Trump in the popular vote with 48 percent of the vote against 46.6 ...

However, the website's poll for Florida shows Trump leading Harris by 7 points. ABC News project 538 ABC News project 538 shows Harris with a 47.9% to 47% edge over Trump.

The website's poll for Florida shows Trump leading Harris by 6.2%. ABC News project 538 ABC News project 538 shows Harris has a slight edge over Trump, with 48.1% compared to 46.9%.. According to ...

Rasmussen ran the letter on its website on Thursday under the title, “ABC News: ‘Answer Our Questions — Or Else!’” The letter, according to Rasmussen, read: ...

For a map of 538 IDs to the new IDs, please email polls@nytimes.com. • Display values, such as those for candidates, pollsters and sponsors, may not exactly match the values provided by 538.