For a map of 538 IDs to the new IDs, please email polls@nytimes.com. • Display values, such as those for candidates, pollsters and sponsors, may not exactly match the values provided by 538.

ABC News, which owned FiveThirtyEight, this week laid off the site’s 15 remaining staffers. The network had already made drastic cutbacks two years ago, with Silver himself departing back then.

Forecasting website 538 said Trump's chances of winning the election are improving. Donald Trump during a rally on September 23, 2024, in Indiana, Pennsylvania.

Donald Trump's campaign manager used a Semafor report on issues with ABC News' 538 election model to take a shot at the entire prediction effort, labeling it "a suppression tool" and calling for ...

The latest analysis of recent polls by election website FiveThirtyEight, published on Friday, gives Harris a 1.4-point lead over Trump in the popular vote with 48 percent of the vote against 46.6 ...

However, the website's poll for Florida shows Trump leading Harris by 7 points. ABC News project 538 ABC News project 538 shows Harris with a 47.9% to 47% edge over Trump.

The website's poll for Florida shows Trump leading Harris by 6.2%. ABC News project 538 ABC News project 538 shows Harris has a slight edge over Trump, with 48.1% compared to 46.9%.. According to ...

FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker shows that Harris is now marginally ahead of Trump in the key swing state, on 45.8 percent to the former president's 45.4 percent, after having overtaken him with a ...

FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker, which was originally published on July 8 and updated on July 16, shows Joe Biden with a 53 percent chance of winning the election, while Trump has a 46 percent chance.

Elsewhere, the most recent poll from Marist—the sixth most accurate polling company, according to FiveThirtyEight—showed Harris with a 3-point lead over Trump (51 percent to 48 percent).

Major Conservative Poll Cited by Media Secretly Worked With Trump Team. ... Earlier this year, the polling aggregator 538 dropped Rasmussen Reports from its averages and forecasts, ...

While 538 notes that some polls show approval for Trump’s plan to deport those in this country illegally, others show disapproval for the president’s pardoning of those who stormed the U.S ...