In the lead up to the election, interactive predictive maps and visuals, like 538's extensive polling visualizations ... make their own predictions and forecasts as the results come in.

On June 27, Biden and Trump are set to square off in Atlanta for the first of two scheduled debates ahead of the general election on November 5. Until then, 538 will rerun its forecast simulator ...

For 2024, 538 built a new presidential election forecast model from the ground up. This article explains how we did it: the ingredients that go into the forecast, how we process them and how we ...

Donald Trump's chances of beating Kamala Harris in the 2024 election have improved in recent days, although the vice ...

Former President Donald Trump dropped below a 40 percent chance of an election victory for the first time on Tuesday, according to a forecast by a major polling aggregator. FiveThirtyEight's ...