US Election Prediction: Historian and political scientist Allan Lichtman predicts that Kamala Harris will win against Donald Trump in the upcoming US presidential elections. If Harris wins, she ...

The forecasts, like those from Decision Desk HQ, Nate Silver and 538, are now ubiquitous, but their accuracy is hard to measure. By Kaleigh Rogers Kaleigh Rogers has been covering election polling ...

Votes this year will matter more than ever: According to 538's forecasts for the White House, U.S. Senate and U.S. House, control of the federal government is firmly up for grabs.

A new model updates US election forecasts. This is by drawing on daily data, driven by the odds market. The model comes from a Northwestern University data scientist. Using these data, the new ...

Prominent election guru Nate Silver called the race for the White House a “pure toss-up” Sunday as he gave ex-President Donald Trump a slight edge over Vice President Kamala Harris in his ...

Presidential Election Predictions In the latest average of the national polls , Harris leads Trump 48.5% to 45.7%, a margin of 2.8%. That is not far off from the 2.4% edge she has on Trump based ...

Nevada: Calm weather is forecast across the state with temperatures in the 60s expected, the weather service said. Las Vegas could see a high of 70 while Reno will be in the mid-50s.

Polymarket, which describes itself as the world’s largest prediction market, on Monday said it had acquired Florida-based derivatives exchange QCX and affiliated clearinghouse QC Clearing — together ...

Overall, a mild Election Day in the US. The rest of the country is expected to be clear and dry on Tuesday, Pastelok said. It will be relatively warm on the East Coast in cities including ...

Election forecasters and their predictive models in the presidential race are in the spotlight. Here’s how to understand this work better.