For 2024, 538 built a new presidential election forecast model from the ground up. This article explains how we did it: the ...

According to FiveThirtyEight, which provides an average of national polls accounting for recency ... Regardless of who wins the presidential race, 60% of voters believe the country will remain ...

The countdown to Election Day is on with exactly two months to go as of Thursday. On July 21, following the June 27 debate against former President Donald Trump, President Joe Biden officially ...

Although polls and poll averages vary and are constantly changing, they allow a glimpse into the current state of the presidential race. FiveThirtyEight average: Harris +2.4 270 to Win average ...

WASHINGTON — The presidential race is competitive ... the economy to turn those estimates into forecasts. In election polling, survey averages can provide a general sense of the state of ...

The Washington Post’s presidential polling averages are our best estimates of the state of public opinion in the 2024 presidential election. We use the best available national and state level ...

If you want to know who is ahead in the presidential election, there are plenty of places to look these days. Many media organizations have their own versions of presidential polling averages ...

The race for the White House remains in a dead heat with just months to go before Election Day. Lisa Desjardins breaks down the numbers from our latest PBS News/NPR/Marist poll. The race for the ...

Recent polling averages have given Harris a slim lead ... experts and commentators to say this is the closest presidential election history in decades, if not more than a century.

It risks being flooded by low-quality or biased polls. As a result, the simple average may not offer the best answer to questions like “Who’s ahead in the presidential race?” or “How many ...

WASHINGTON (AP) — The presidential race is competitive ... economy to turn those estimates into forecasts. In election polling, survey averages can provide a general sense of the state of ...