In a sudden swing, Democrats now enjoy a four-point lead over Republicans on the generic ballot, according to a new Napolitan ...

House generic ballot polling and the number of seats the presidential party is defending—do a decent job of predicting midterm congressional election results.— This model suggests Democrats would be ...

But it’s better than nothing, which is what Republicans may have in terms of power in the House after the November general election ... the so-called generic congressional ballot.