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Foreign policy has always been a contest of ... This finding has serious strategic implications. If AI models systematically favor escalation, they could skew policy analysis toward more aggressive ...

Our analysis of the evaluation results shows that DeepSeek ... This is a troubling pattern that has significant implications as these models are integrated into foreign policy decisionmaking. In sum, ...

We estimate a New Keynesian small open economy model which allows ... certain situations. Our analysis also highlights the critical importance of accounting for the endogeneity of FXI behavior when ...

Engineering instructor and former NSA strategist Russ Berkoff discusses how AI tools could prevent—or escalate—international ...

This paper presents a semi-structural macroeconomic model aimed at facilitating policy analysis and forecasting ... FINEX thus covers a broad set of policy instruments, including foreign exchange ...

While in recent years AI tools have moved into foreign ... policy, while suggesting de-escalation as the best advice for Russia or China. It shows that "you cannot just use off-the-shelf models ...