President Donald Trump has been in office for nearly six months of a four-year term. While Trump has more than three years ...

With Election Day behind us, here's a look at some of the unofficial polls that got the 2024 presidential results wrong.

Donald Trump currently leads presidential election predictions with a 61.74% chance of winning the 2024 election, while Kamala Harris stands at 38.26%, with just five days until the election.

Donald Trump currently leads presidential election predictions with a 64.29% chance of winning the 2024 election, while Kamala Harris stands at 35.71%, with just six days until the election.

Allan Lichtman told USA TODAY his 2024 election prediction set off an "avalanche." Here's why he thinks Americans love political predictions.

Election predictions are difficult in battleground states like Arizona. But Allan Lichtman, a historian who has correctly predicted the outcome of nine out of the past 10 presidential elections, ...

Even Bean, whose election predictions made headlines for decades, cautioned against reading his analysis as gospel. A year before the 1968 election, he predicted, with a caveat, ...

Election predictions are too noisy to tell if Trump or Harris wins. Aaron Brown. Bloomberg Opinion (TNS) What is the probability that Donald Trump will win the 2024 presidential election?

But election prediction can be a fickle pursuit, as Zogby demonstrated on Election Day 2004. The day before, in his final election poll, Zogby estimated Bush led Democrat John Kerrey by a single ...

Regulating U.S. prediction markets will become far more critical when large sums are focused directly on the outcome of elections, which are, after all, the foundation of our democracy.