538's final presidential election forecast. Katie Marriner and Amina Brown ... ABC News interactive electoral map showing scenario where Vice President Kamala Harris wins all seven key swing ...

FiveThirtyEight's election forecast model runs 1,000 simulations ... to the widest—Newsweek calculated what the electoral map could look like if the best-case scenarios for Trump and Harris ...

Empirically, based on how well it would have done in the 2000-2020 presidential elections, the new 538 forecast is well calibrated ... There's a large map in front of you, and you need to point ...

Introducing 538's forecast for the 2024 U.S. Senate ... as bad as the 2024 map is for Democrats, the 2026 elections may not be much kinder to them. They will be defending four seats in states ...

Introducing 538's forecast for U.S. House races ... hands due to the fact that five states redrew their House maps ahead of the 2024 election. That's notably affected the probable outcomes ...

In the lead up to the election, interactive predictive maps and visuals, like 538's extensive polling visualizations ... make their own predictions and forecasts as the results come in.

As of writing, 538’s forecast suggests that Harris has ... You’ll often see, as elections grind on, maps of predicted outcomes by state, with swing states depicted with a color indicating ...

You can get in touch with James by emailing j.bickerton@newsweek.com It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election ... analytics website, 538, announced it would no ...

As of Oct. 30 at 11:30 a.m. Eastern, the margin between Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump in 538 ... election forecasting model can be helpful. As of Oct. 30 at 11:30 a.m. Eastern, our ...

Today 538 published our official forecast for the 2024 presidential election. The model builds on our general election polling averages by asking not just what our best guess is about who is ...