The battle for control of the U.S. Senate is close to being a tossup, but with perhaps a very narrow advantage for Democrats, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast, which launched this week.In ...

FiveThirtyEight’s initial 2012 presidential forecast found President Obama as a slight favorite to win re-election. These projections are unique, both in means and ends, but the FiveThirtyEight ...

Announcing 538's 2024 presidential election forecast model. Trump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast. Trump has a slight edge in the polls, but the fundamentals favor Biden.

Welcome to our Election Update for Thursday, Aug. 23! As of 1 p.m., the “Classic” version of FiveThirtyEight’s House forecast gives Democrats a 5 in 7 chance (7… ...

Forecasting website 538 said Trump's chances of winning the election are improving. Donald Trump during a rally on September 23, 2024, in Indiana, Pennsylvania.

Donald Trump is projected to win more than 300 electoral votes in the 2024 election by flipping a number of key swing states from President Joe Biden, according to forecasters.. Analysis from ...

Four years later, he nailed the electoral map precisely. Silver’s forecast ahead of the 2018 midterm elections gave the Democrats an 88% chance to win control of the House.

Joe Biden (L) in Wilmington, Delaware, and Donald Trump at the White House on November 4, 2020. Biden is currently the favorite to win the 2024 election, according to 538.

FiveThirtyEight’s Election Updates are back! This will be a regular feature in which we track the race for the House (and, eventually, Senate and governors’ offices) using our forecasts to ...

What’s Behind FiveThirtyEight’s 2022 Election Forecast (As Told By Nate Silver) By Nate Silver and Galen Druke. Filed under Politics Podcast. Published Jun. 30, 2022.

The prediction model from 538 gives Trump a 45 percent of victory, up from 39 percent in mid-September. Newsweek. Donald Trump Surges in Top Election Forecast. Story by Ewan Palmer ...