When the US saw stagflation in the '70s and '80s, the unemployment rate peaked at about 9% in 1975, before cooling and rising to another peak of 10.8% in the early '80s, according to the Bureau of ...

The probability of a US recession this year has plunged on Polymarket and Kalshi. Prediction gurus break down what that means ...

Inflation hit 8.2% in September. MediaNews Group via Getty Images. The forecast model showed a 25% probability of a recession hitting even sooner — within the next 10 months — up from 0% odds ...

U.S. economy grew less in 4th quarter than previously estimated 03:57. A majority of the nation's business economists expect a U.S. recession to begin later this year than they had previously ...

US recession forecast just hit 100% in this key model. Here’s one way Americans can prepare. How to prepare financially for a recession. Updated: Oct. 18, 2022 at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Goldman Sachs' (NYSE:GS) seesaw recession predictions on April 9 are a clear indication that much remains unclear when it comes to the possible implications for the US economy. That day, the firm ...

Fed, economists make course correction on US recession predictions. By Howard Schneider and Indradip Ghosh. August 17, 2023 8:52 AM UTC Updated August 17, 2023 WASHINGTON, Aug 16 ...

Predictions for a coming recession are too complacent, and there's isn't enough evidence that a coming downturn will be short and shallow, top economist Mohamed El-Erian warned. "People are ...

Kim said KPMG Economics thinks there will be a mild recession with unemployment hitting 5.3%, an updated forecast from 5.5%, well above December's 3.5% but far below the near-15% unemployment in ...

There's now a 100% chance the US economy will enter recession within a year, Bloomberg Economics said. Its forecast comes as tight monetary policy, inflation and growing geopolitical tensions ...

The Federal Reserve’s fight against inflation will spark a recession in the United States that begins late next year, Deutsche Bank warned on Tuesday. CNN values your feedback 1.